Saturday, August 7, 2010

Uncertain future

With the elections looming around the corner, Politian's are gearing up for what is sure to be a tense campaign season. Regardless if you are on the right or on the left, no one is truly safe. Adding to this is the Tea Party movement which has took America by storm. Some say that it is merely a tactic to get voters fired up against the Democrats, while Tea Party supporters counter that they are neither Republican or Democrats, but dissatisfied citizens worried for the future of America. But is it really as bad as they say it is, or are Republicans merely trying to put momentum on their side? The answer is a resounding -- no. In fact, the desperation of Conservative Politian's is seen evident in the ideas they are trying to push for. Primarily, the idea to amend the constitution so that children born to immigrants aren't citizens unless the parents can prove their citizenship.
Republicans have always run on the notion that the constitution is a 'perfect document', a document that needs no changes. Now, seemingly out of nowhere, they are now proclaiming that the constitution is a 'living, breathing' document that needs to be changed for modernization. It's laughable at what they are doing. Not only is it blatantly obvious that Republicans will never get this through, it is an affirmation that their party's future seems bleak.
America is now changing, it is becoming more diverse than ever, counter-culture ideas are now becoming more accepted; all of these things don't bode well for Republicans. During the November elections, according to exit polls, President Obama won every single demographic but white voters. President Obama won only 43% of white voters, whereas McCain garnered 55% of white voters. In other areas, however, Obama handedly defeated McCain; he won 95% of black voters, 67% of Hispanic and 62% of Asian voters. Moreover, the statistics depicting the countries future demographic doesn't make the situation any better for conservatives. According to the US Census Bureau the dominance of non-Hispanic white people, who today account for two-thirds of Americans, will whittle away, falling increasingly to less than half in 2042 and 46% by 2050. In the opposite trajectory, those who describe themselves as Hispanic, black, Asian and Native American will increase in proportion from about a third now to 54% by 2050.
Everyone knows there are conservative Latinos. But if Hispanics are shifting more toward Democrats, it's not because Democrats or anyone else has tricked Hispanics into it. The GOP has managed to alienate Latinos just fine, without any help from the Left. Furthermore, tough stances on immigration doesn't help republicans gain any grounds with Latinos. There is a clear example of this back in 1994 when California conservative Politian's proposed a bill called Proposition 187, the purpose of the bill was to create a state-run citizenship screening system in order to prohibit illegal immigrants from using health care, public education, and other social services in the State of California. Back then California was a primarily a Republican state (hard to believe, I know) however, similar to now anti-immigrant sentiment was popular and the right drove that rhetoric right to the elections. Eventually, Hispanic voters were appalled at the tough rhetoric and were motivated to the polls. Ever since then, California has been long lost to Republicans. Only, Schwarzenegger was successful running as Republican candidate but even he was immigrant friendly.
The propose of this amendment is not because they really care about changing the constitution but a way to prolong the inevitable -- they're irrelevancy. Conservatives want to stop these future voters from becoming citizens because they know it'll be difficult to gain their trust. Therefore, the best next thing is to just not make them be eligible voters at all. In the end, with this tense political environment where congress can't even agree what day it is, good luck convincing two-thirds of them to vote in favor of changing the constitution. Republicans, like back then, are riding this anti-immigrant sentiment to the polls. It may very well help them these elections but it sure won't help them in the future.

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